My Mea Culpa at the Hands of Seeing Machines

It’s ironic that someone who prides himself on being fairly hard-headed should have made the mistake of failing to follow this advice from Benjamin Graham, arguably the greatest investor of all time.

All I can say in my own defence is that my faith in the technology of Seeing Machines has, at times, blinded me to the lack of tangible returns as a shareholder in this company. It has been a costly lesson for me, as for others.

I still believe that Seeing Machines will be taken over because of the quality of its technology. However, it is clear that successive management has not given sufficient priority to protecting shareholder value.

Even a takeover may not compensate for the opportunity cost of this mistake. It is a sobering reminder that being right about a company’s technology is not necessarily the same as being right about the investment.

I’m not about to sell out of Seeing Machines while I believe my original investment thesis remains intact. However, management must ultimately be judged on what it delivers for shareholders over the coming months.

The writer holds stock in Seeing Machines.

Colin Barnden: a guiding light

I learnt this morning of the sad news that Colin Barnden had passed away. I thought it only right to acknowledge my debt to the quality of his Independent analysis and his research into the area of DMS in automotive. 

He was the expert in this area. Many financial analysts would acknowledge that, I’m sure. Even he once joked that his knowledge was ā€œInch wide and mile deepā€ in this area.

I myself went to him for information/analysis many times – indeed, on occasion in the past he wrote pieces on Safestocks. 

I can’t claim to have know him other than in a professional capacity as a technology analyst but his intelligence and honesty shone out every time I heard him speak or read an article he’d written. 

He himself wrote this on Safestocks back in 2019 and it’s typically honest and forthright: ā€œMy role is to make an argument but it is up to everyone to make their own individual decisions about how they think things will play out. No one has a crystal ball.ā€

For my part, I think he was clearly proven correct about DMS and its importance in the auto industry, and much else besides.Ā 

He’ll be sorely missed by me and many others for the insights he regularly delivered. But that loss pales into insignificance when you consider what his untimely death means for his family.

Seeing Machines moves into robotics and Physical AI with NVIDIA

Seeing Machines is no longer merely exploring robotics. It has built a platform designed to become the human-perception layer inside the Physical AI ecosystem.

That may sound like a bold claim for a company best known for monitoring drivers, but Seeing Machines’ latest robotics demonstration suggests the strategy is now tangible.

The company has published a technical paper demonstrating its Human Mesh Recovery technology running on NVIDIA’s Jetson Thor robotics platform. HMR can reconstruct a detailed 3D representation of a person from a single camera, allowing a machine to understand human position, posture and movement in real time. On Jetson Thor, Seeing Machines says it can deliver up to 180 frames per second while combining high accuracy with a relatively compact model.

The significance is not simply that SEE appears to match the performance of much larger models such as Meta’s SAM 3D Body. It is that SEE is achieving this level of human understanding with a much smaller, faster model designed to run directly on the embedded hardware inside a robot.

A robot operating in a factory, warehouse, hospital or home cannot simply know that a human is nearby. It needs to understand where that person is, what they are doing and, ultimately, what they are likely to do next in real time. Seeing Machines’ new Physical AI platform is designed around precisely this problem, with capabilities spanning human detection, pose and movement estimation, behavioural understanding, prediction and support for safe interaction.

And this is no longer just a research project. Seeing Machines launched its Human-Centred Physical AI Platform in August, has demonstrated its technology on a Unitree G1 humanoid robot and is recruiting robotics engineers with experience in physical robots, perception, control, motion planning and human-robot interaction.

That points towards an important change in the investment story.

Seeing Machines does not need to become a robot manufacturer. Its opportunity may be considerably more valuable: becoming the human-perception layer that sits inside robots made by other companies.

The company’s platform is designed to work across multiple robot embodiments and hardware configurations. That opens the possibility of SEE supplying the intelligence that allows different types of robots to understand and interact with humans.

For a company that has spent more than two decades teaching machines to understand humans, this is a logical extension of its existing expertise rather than a completely new direction.

And it makes Seeing Machines increasingly interesting to another group of potential partners: chip companies competing for market share in Physical AI.

If you’re NVIDIA, Ambarella or another edge-AI processor company trying to get your silicon into the next generation of robots, an efficient human-perception model that makes your processor demonstrably useful for Physical AI is a very valuable piece of the ecosystem.

That makes SEE not merely a potential robotics supplier, but a human-perception platform that chip companies will want inside their Physical AI ecosystems.

The writer holds stock in Seeing Machines.